Decision Difficulty

Classify decisions by impact (high/low) and option comparability (easy/hard) to determine the right approach: quick choice or careful analysis.

How to use the decision difficulty model

To use this model, consider two key factors of your decision:

Impact

How significant are the consequences of this decision? Will it affect many people, involve substantial resources, or have long-lasting effects?

Low impact:

Few consequences, easily reversible

High impact:

Major consequences, difficult to reverse

Comparability

How easy is it to compare the available options? Are they similar in nature or very different?

Easy to compare:

Similar options, clear metrics

Hard to compare:

Different options, subjective factors

The four types of decisions

Based on these two factors, decisions fall into four categories:

No-brainer

Impact:

Low

Comparability:

Easy

Move fast and go with your gut feeling. These decisions don't require much analysis.

Example: Choosing between two similar vendors for office supplies

Apples/Oranges choice

Impact:

Low

Comparability:

Hard

Refine your options based on what is really important to you. Focus on key criteria.

Example: Allocating a small discretionary budget between team training or equipment upgrades

Big choice

Impact:

High

Comparability:

Easy

Gain confidence before making the decision. Verify assumptions and gather data.

Example: Selecting between two well-defined strategic initiatives with similar ROI projections

Hard choice

Impact:

High

Comparability:

Hard

Use structured tools like a decision matrix to carefully evaluate options based on different factors.

Example: Deciding between organizational restructuring, geographic expansion, or product diversification

When you can categorize your decision using this model, it enables you to apply the right level of analysis and move forward with appropriate confidence.

Business application example

Let's look at how a product manager might use this framework when deciding on the next quarter's development priorities:

Scenario: Product Roadmap Decision

A product manager needs to decide between three options:

  • Option A: Improve existing features based on customer feedback
  • Option B: Develop a new integration with a popular enterprise tool
  • Option C: Redesign the user interface to improve usability

Analysis:

This is a "Hard choice" because:

  • High impact:

    The decision will affect product direction, resource allocation, and customer satisfaction
  • Hard to compare:

    Each option addresses different needs (customer satisfaction, market expansion, user experience)

Approach:

The product manager should use a structured decision-making tool like a weighted decision matrix to evaluate each option against criteria such as revenue potential, development effort, strategic alignment, and customer impact. They should also gather input from stakeholders across the organization before making the final decision.